Geopolitics
-
The Articles of Favorable Treatment for the Qing Imperial Family: Sovereignty Transfer and Order Transformation under Natural Law
I. Introduction: The Contractual Nature of the Abdication Edict On February 12, 1912, the Qing Emperor, through Empress Dowager Longyu, issued the abdication edict, transferring ruling authority to the newly established Republic of…
-
The Only Option: Why the West Must Facilitate the Restoration of Iran’s Shah
Introduction: From Geopolitical Shock to Institutional Logic Analysis Since Israel’s Operation “Rising Lion” air strike on Tehran on June 13, 2025, the Middle Eastern geopolitical landscape has been profoundly reshaped. As I analyzed…
-
The Return of the Crown: The End of Iran’s Theocracy
Introduction: The Tehran Airstrikes—A Misread Crisis and the Choice for Order In the early hours of June 13, 2025, Israel launched a massive airstrike operation against Iran, including direct attacks on the capital…
-
The Great Failure: The Price of China’s Rare Earth Strategy
Introduction China has long regarded rare earths as its “trump card” in geopolitical competition. Its dominance extends not only to the mining and smelting separation of rare earth raw materials, but also to…
-
Russia-Ukraine Reversal: Eurasia’s Geopolitical Shake-Up
Since late May 2025, the international stage has been abuzz with events that, while seemingly peripheral, carry profound implications. From Mongolia’s foreign minister advocating for Philippine interests in the South China Sea, to…
-
Trump’s Next Trump Card: Confronting Diplomatic Bullying by Recognizing the Republic of China
Breaking Free from Beijing’s Fiction to Restore the Republic of China’s Global Standing 1. A Fabricated Consensus and the Reality of Division The “One China Policy” was a strategically ambiguous framework adopted by…
-
Encirclement: Trump Resets U.S.-Russia Relations
Background Recap: From Dual Pivots to Trump’s Breakthrough My previous analysis framed U.S.-China competition as a battle over two pivotal arenas: Russia and the South China Sea. It’s a high-stakes geopolitical showdown—control these…
-
China’s South China Sea Gambit: Feinting at Taiwan, Undermining the Philippines
Update Notice: This article was published on May 19, 2025, based on the analysis of China’s strategy in the South China Sea, Taiwan, and the Philippines at that time, which was grounded in…
-
The Battle of Pivots: The Current State of US-China Geopolitical Struggle
Update Notice: This article was published on May 15, 2025, based on the geopolitical context at that time and assessments of the US-China geopolitical struggle under certain conditions and trends. Recently, significant developments…
-
Dire Prediction: The CCP’s Philippine Gambit and the Imminent Collapse of the Indo-Pacific Strategy
Update Notice: This article was published on May 15, 2025, based on the geopolitical context at the time. Its assessment of the CCP’s Philippine strategy and the Indo-Pacific framework was made under specific…
-
Tactical Tempo in Balance: The Core Strategy of Trump’s China Policy
In Washington’s discourse on China, terms like “containment,” “confrontation,” and “derisking” have become the prevailing narrative. Since launching a tariff war against China in 2018, Trump has ushered U.S.-China relations into a clear…
-
Trump’s Geneva Talks: Shifting the Tempo
On May 11, 2025, the US and China held high-level trade talks in Geneva, reaching a preliminary agreement. Scott Bessent, Greer, and He Lifeng established a regular consultation mechanism to address tariff barriers,…
-
The Empire Endures: Putin and Russia’s Shift to Civilizational Politics
A Historical Restoration, Not a Revolution Western media often cast Vladimir Putin as a modern tsar, a dictator, or an autocratic ruler. But when you look at his regime through the lens of…
-
Charles III, the British Monarchy, and Eurasia’s Strategic Misstep
Britain’s political scene is turbulent, wrestling with free speech battles and swift cultural shifts. At the center of these changes stands a key yet often overlooked figure: Charles III. Many see the British…
-
India-Pakistan Tensions Flare: China’s Hidden Play in Kashmir
On May 7, 2025, the Line of Control (LoC) in Kashmir erupted in the fiercest fighting in decades. Public reports indicate India launched “Operation Sindoor,” hitting nine “terrorist infrastructure” targets in Pakistan and…
-
The Silk Road: A Thriving Spontaneous Order
Introduction: From Historical Tapestry to Modern Appropriation The Silk Road was a sprawling network of trade and culture, flourishing without a master planner, much like an ant colony. Countless merchants, caravans, and translators…
-
The Forgotten Empire: Kashgar, Kashmir, and the Hindu Kush
A cultural corridor once stretched from Xinjiang to northern India, weaving together Central Asian regions until modern borders and geopolitics tore it apart. The shared “Kash / Kush” root in “Kashgar,” “Kashmir,” and…
-
Misplaced Historical Analogy: Ukraine Is Not a Colony, But a Crumbling Empire
Recently, U.S. Congressman Don Bacon took to X, comparing Ukraine to the thirteen North American colonies and Russia to the British Empire, declaring: It was the 13 Colonies’ fight against the British that…
-
Eve of the Showdown: The Final Collapse of China’s Strategic Space
In response to China’s counter-tariffs, the Trump administration launched a new round of tariffs on Chinese goods on April 9, with the rate against China soaring to 145%. In my previous analysis, I…
-
Indo-Pacific Flashpoint: The Philippines in U.S.-China Rivalry
As the United States redirects its strategic focus to the Indo-Pacific, its rivalry with China intensifies. In 2025, Japan will join the Philippines and the U.S. in the “Balikatan” exercise as a full…